Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 9.034220 10.314607 11.719583 13.376951 15.280344 17.399927 19.942147
2025-11-30 7.541320 9.274321 11.326888 13.942344 17.194131 21.114080 26.213366
2025-12-07 6.538797 8.475272 10.896444 14.156113 18.446179 23.921993 31.477632
2025-12-14 5.736719 7.761196 10.406888 14.133425 19.273467 26.152015 36.119996
2025-12-21 5.083920 7.136659 9.923670 14.005933 19.870960 28.050350 40.423502
2025-12-28 4.753176 6.899936 9.917618 14.498566 21.330481 31.226420 46.800968
2026-01-04 4.434157 6.635728 9.829694 14.838797 22.568665 34.161207 53.082877
2026-01-11 4.198062 6.462652 9.845983 15.315896 24.030872 37.533961 60.343083
2026-01-18 3.793300 5.989806 9.359262 14.958177 24.140004 38.792957 64.327991
2026-01-25 3.467308 5.607586 8.973562 14.713502 24.387513 40.264874 68.766677
2026-02-01 3.184412 5.267593 8.621717 14.483457 24.622307 41.711975 73.269728
2026-02-08 2.934589 4.959243 8.292655 14.255613 24.827477 43.106039 77.784777
2026-02-15 2.694798 4.650906 7.943044 13.969374 24.918003 44.331477 82.167380
2026-02-22 2.626451 4.632001 8.084483 14.556048 26.613996 48.559383 92.539111
2026-03-01 2.505106 4.508132 8.029910 14.779790 27.657812 51.677940 101.098244
2026-03-08 2.357656 4.324308 7.851745 14.756054 28.227529 53.946270 108.201179
2026-03-15 2.208234 4.124405 7.627293 14.622698 28.568302 55.793395 114.623588
2026-03-22 2.157198 4.104865 7.735629 15.138003 30.225597 60.367705 127.143561
2026-03-29 2.088698 4.045893 7.763259 15.493912 31.589219 64.465667 139.067368
2026-04-05 2.041107 4.023621 7.859097 15.993023 33.287876 69.399393 153.317246
2026-04-12 1.898796 3.801680 7.543753 15.618797 33.112773 70.362445 158.786346
2026-04-19 1.780515 3.619663 7.294959 15.362841 33.166750 71.816518 165.515263
2026-04-26 1.672914 3.451753 7.062540 15.122198 33.231184 73.293461 172.439434